Politics Predictions

Political prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of thousands of traders to forecast election outcomes, policy decisions, and geopolitical events. Markets have consistently outperformed polls in accuracy.

60 active markets
PoliticsCryptoSportsScience & TechCultureEconomicsWeather
2026 FIFA World Cup Winner
Politics

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$499.3M vol$7.9M 24h
Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner
Politics

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$38.9M vol$5.2M 24h
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Politics

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$981.5M vol$4.2M 24h
Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Politics

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$13.3M vol$4.2M 24h
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$519.5M vol$3.8M 24h
F1 Drivers' Champion
Politics

F1 Drivers' Champion

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$82.1M vol$3.5M 24h
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$490.4M vol$2.3M 24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$63.1M vol$2.2M 24h
Eurovision Winner 2026
Politics

Eurovision Winner 2026

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$67.8M vol$2.1M 24h
Who will win the Lyon mayoral election?
Politics

Who will win the Lyon mayoral election?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$2.7M vol$1.8M 24h
Brazil Presidential Election
Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$40.9M vol$1.6M 24h
Next French Presidential Election
Politics

Next French Presidential Election

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$31.2M vol$1.1M 24h
Next Prime Minister of Hungary
Politics

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$46.8M vol$1.0M 24h
Netanyahu out by...?
Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$114.1M vol$954.5K 24h
Oscars 2026: Best Actress Winner
Politics

Oscars 2026: Best Actress Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$3.0M vol$867.9K 24h
Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Politics

Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actress Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$3.1M vol$774.1K 24h
Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner
Politics

Oscars 2026: Best Director Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$6.0M vol$740.0K 24h
2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner
Politics

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$13.5M vol$682.4K 24h
Will Backpack launch a token by ___ ?
Politics

Will Backpack launch a token by ___ ?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.5M vol$675.5K 24h
Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner
Politics

Oscars 2026: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$5.7M vol$598.1K 24h
Paris Mayoral Election
Politics

Paris Mayoral Election

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$3.7M vol$589.4K 24h
Peru Presidential Election Winner
Politics

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$6.2M vol$562.1K 24h
Augusta National Invitational - Winner
Politics

Augusta National Invitational - Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$66.3M vol$553.1K 24h
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Politics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$3.2M vol$500.9K 24h
Rheinland-Pfalz Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics

Rheinland-Pfalz Parliamentary Election Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.9M vol$463.4K 24h
Will Trump visit China by...?
Politics

Will Trump visit China by...?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$20.4M vol$428.0K 24h
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$57.0M vol$365.1K 24h
Oscars 2026: Best Cinematography Winner
Politics

Oscars 2026: Best Cinematography Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$2.4M vol$343.9K 24h
BitBoy convicted?
Politics

BitBoy convicted?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$832.3K vol$342.3K 24h
Oscars 2026: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Politics

Oscars 2026: Best Original Screenplay Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$909.1K vol$332.5K 24h
Trump out as President before 2027?
Politics

Trump out as President before 2027?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$6.1M vol$315.5K 24h
Carabao Cup Winner
Politics

Carabao Cup Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$480.5K vol$275.5K 24h
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Politics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$80.1M vol$255.2K 24h
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?
Politics

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$13.5M vol$226.6K 24h
Oscars 2026: Best Production Design Winner
Politics

Oscars 2026: Best Production Design Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$579.2K vol$225.5K 24h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$26.0M vol$224.1K 24h
Will Russia capture Rodynske by...?
Politics

Will Russia capture Rodynske by...?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.8M vol$219.0K 24h
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$23.9M vol$211.0K 24h
Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics

Illinois Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$393.0K vol$200.2K 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$29.7M vol$194.2K 24h
Another crypto hack over $100m by ___?
Politics

Another crypto hack over $100m by ___?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$368.9K vol$186.9K 24h
Oscars 2026: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner
Politics

Oscars 2026: Best Adapted Screenplay Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$887.3K vol$176.3K 24h
NBA Rookie of the Year
Politics

NBA Rookie of the Year

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$2.7M vol$159.9K 24h
Bank of Japan Decision in March?
Politics

Bank of Japan Decision in March?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$2.1M vol$127.4K 24h
Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner
Politics

Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$4.7M vol$105.8K 24h
Next Prime Minister of Thailand
Politics

Next Prime Minister of Thailand

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.3M vol$101.6K 24h
Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?
Politics

Will MrBeast hit ___ Million subscribers by March 31?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$714.2K vol$95.6K 24h
IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner
Politics

IL-09 Democratic Primary Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$173.0K vol$88.9K 24h
Oscars 2026: Best Film Editing Winner
Politics

Oscars 2026: Best Film Editing Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.4M vol$88.9K 24h
Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
Politics

Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$449.5K vol$88.2K 24h
Richest person on March 31?
Politics

Richest person on March 31?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$639.5K vol$86.3K 24h
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
Politics

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$904.2K vol$83.5K 24h
Bank of England Decision in March?
Politics

Bank of England Decision in March?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$601.9K vol$77.8K 24h
Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
Politics

Which company will have the best AI model for coding on March 31?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.4M vol$74.5K 24h
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Politics

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$12.4M vol$74.3K 24h
Oscars 2026: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner
Politics

Oscars 2026: Best Makeup and Hairstyling Winner

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$486.3K vol$66.3K 24h
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
Politics

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$12.4M vol$55.3K 24h
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Politics

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$3.4M vol$55.1K 24h
Colombia Presidential Election
Politics

Colombia Presidential Election

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$12.4M vol$46.8K 24h
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Politics

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Yes
50.0%
No
50.0%
$1.5M vol$45.9K 24h