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Markets/Science & Tech/Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Science & TechACTIVE

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.

Price History

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Outcomes (11 markets)

Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes28.0%
No72.0%
$1.9K 24h

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes26.0%
No74.0%
$1.3K 24h

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes12.2%
No87.8%
$1 24h

Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes2.8%
No97.2%
$0 24h

Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes6.5%
No93.5%
$0 24h

Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes2.6%
No97.4%
$0 24h

Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes2.3%
No97.8%
$0 24h

Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes2.5%
No97.5%
$0 24h

Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes100.0%
No0.0%
$0 24h

Will Meta have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes6.5%
No93.5%
$0 24h

Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Yes3.5%
No96.5%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$1.0M
24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$43.7K
End Date
6/30/2026
Comments
23

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TechAIBusinessDeepSeekGrok