Markets/Politics/GPT-6 released by…?
GPT-6 released by…?
PoliticsACTIVE

GPT-6 released by…?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History

Outcomes (5 markets)

Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?

Yes11.0%
No89.0%
$75 24h

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

Yes52.5%
No47.5%
$25 24h

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Yes81.0%
No19.0%
$0 24h

Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?

Yes0.0%
No100.0%
$0 24h

Market Stats

Total Volume
$304.2K
24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
$10.9K
Open Interest
$58.8K
End Date
12/31/2025
Comments
45

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Tags

OpenAIGPT-5Big TechAITechsam altman